It is the truth: Iran come to terms with the West and Arabs share 0.
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Not the initial agreement, which was signed in the twenty-fourth of November between Iran and Western countries in Geneva on the Iranian nuclear issue is a surprise, there are negotiations between the two sides since more than ten years and it is natural to interpret the path of negotiations to either success or failure, but controversial is the nature of the agreement and its timing, and even more importantly, the relevance of such an agreement for future arrangements for regional security of the Gulf and the nature of Iran's role in it.
One of the Mulls terms of the Interim Agreement, he finds that it is not only a chance to recuperate between both Iran General and the West and the United States in particular in the conflict spread to more than three decades, use of each party in which all of his pressure and bargaining chips, the parties to reach the conclusion that the game is no longer zero.Regardless of whether there was an unknown items in the agreement, either implicitly or written, the entire agreement, which Iran's commitment to suspend uranium enrichment and determine the rate of return for not imposing new sanctions on them, and give them a series of economic incentives through a transitional period of six months, it does not affect the essence of The real differences between Iran and Western countries in general and the United States specifically, as Iran's specific demands are in the United States pledged not to overthrow the Iranian regime, and the recognition of peaceful nuclear rights of Iran, and that Iran's regional role commensurate with its weight geostrategic, while the United States wants to ensure the security of the Allies , as well as energy security, those mutual demands was the content of the mutual unspoken messages between the two sides during the past ten years and did not necessarily linked to the arrival of President Obama to power, however, it accelerated in his reign, which did not find American newspapers qualms of referred to, and then the not to talk about it openly does not mean they were not replace lengthy debate, but it will be the major items in the Comprehensive Agreement after the expiry of the transitional period, and which confirms that the contradiction, the two parties in terms of statements and opacity on the terms of the agreement on the other hand.
In terms of timing, the agreement came at a time when regional game strands intertwined with international counterparts are necessitated «reconcile interests», even if temporarily, US President Barack Obama has a specific platform, a solution to the Iranian nuclear issue peacefully and whether the developments in this case may require waving several times the military option that does not mean neutrality for the failure to achieve an electoral program will not only be a failure for the Democrats, as well as the fact that such a policy is the implementation of the report of the Baker-Hamilton famous released in the second term of the Bush Jr. and recommended dialogue with Iran, in addition to non-economic crisis unprecedented, not to mention the return of Russia's role and strongly towards regional issues «Iran, Syria, Egypt, Iran is not merely that agreement only rationing nuclear policies, has announced is a time for cooperation with the International Atomic Energy Agency, and that the programs of the peaceful nature of which is a legitimate right guaranteed by the agency, but the most important development in my opinion, is that Iran believes that the moment has come to reap the benefits of regional alliances that made her a record regionally difficult to overcome, not least because of the presence of Lakhdar Brahimi, UN envoy to Syria Geneva negotiations nuclear, which means that the nuclear issue is not the only side One of those negotiations.
The issue remains the most important, the regional implications of that agreement, and in particular on the security of the GCC countries, although welcoming the GCC agreement, but the rest had concerns not at the level of the nuclear issue, but also the future of the regional role of Iran in the presence of several contentious issues between the two sides is not least of Iranian interference in the internal affairs of the GCC countries, where raised several ideas, including the possibility of the return of the United States policy of former President Richard Nixon «columns parallel» Iran will of course be one of them, in light of the decline of the roles of the pivotal states as a result of the faltering shifts the Arab world, as well as the possibility auspices of the United States in a regional security structure will not be limited to countries in the region, but may include some neighboring countries, and with the importance of such ideas as they are beginning to establish cooperative security rather than strategic security, which sapped the region's countries resources for decades, it is the requirements of that reform the constituent units of the security first and I mean the inevitability of resolving the controversy that arises since the Iranian revolution in 1979 and until now, Iran's revolution or the state? To be the decisive final favor, The GCC did not regional role of Iran opposes, but should be based on confidence-building measures, the most important non-interference in the affairs of others and resolve disputes by peaceful means, and the reduction of conventional arms control and non-traditional, which means building new relationships based balance of interests does not the balance of power, which is not purely Gulf conditions, but all are the foundations of successful regional organizations in the world.
Out of the crisis between Iran and Western countries is not over, but has taken the calm stage path, the GCC countries are invited now and before ever to study the strategic choices towards these developments, and that was not the agreement the origin of her, but it was revealing to the features of regional equation taking shape intertwined weaved with the new international reality will be no unilateral power, at least in the foreseeable future, and in my opinion, the GCC countries could invest these transformations on more than one level: firstly need to begin the process of action to implement the proposal to shift towards the Gulf Union as a necessity to any regional balances of non-strategic unexpected, and for us in history lessons, as dictated by regional developments in the past on the GCC countries Options probably were not interested in, and the second is: Rethinking the Gulf role towards the strategic depth zones «Iraq, Yemen» Third: diversify strategic partnership through the mobilization of the role of States Asian actors in the international arena, and with the importance of these options they need to uniform policies rather than individual policies, there may be a need to redefine the strategic interests of the Gulf Cooperation Council.
The mean of the above two things: first, that regardless of the intentions and will devolve to regional developments during the next six months, the issue of military confrontation between Iran and Western nations have faded to a large extent, and the second: is that the agreement did not end the equation zero of the conflict, but was codification her In other words, each party will seek to use what he has of stressful papers and compromise to get the greatest possible gains, it is true that prevail conviction on both sides that can benefit sharing, but there are regional and international parties can not be ignored, and then have to put countries Cooperation Council, as it is a permanent and lasting Asaddaqh enemies but permanent interests, but more importantly, that the interests always come to terms.
* Researcher Bahrain Centre for Strategic and International Studies and Energy
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